| Company | KOHC | Symbol |
| Company Name | Kohat Cement Limited | Company Name |
| Avg EPS | Rs 2.67 | Average of past year end EPS's |
| Avg EPS FV | Rs 28.11 | Fair Value based on average of past year end EPS's |
| EPS | Rs 15.61 | Last four quarters EPS |
| EPS FV | Rs 164.32 | Fair Value based on last four quarters EPS |
| Current Price | Rs 71.87 | Last closing stock price |
| Updated | December 2012 | Data Month/Year |
| Div | Rs 3.00 | Total dividend paid during last four quarters |
| Div FV | Rs 31.58 | Fair value based on total dividend paid during last four quarters |
| Avg Div | Rs 0.33 | Average of yearly dividends paid (including currently paid ones) |
| Avg Div FV | Rs 3.51 | Fair value based on Average of yearly dividends paid (including currently paid ones) |
| Avg | Rs 39.85 | Fair value (averaged of other fair value) |
| Upside | -44.56% | Upside potential (in percentage) based on the above Average. |
| Div Yield | 4.17% | Dividend yield |
| Book Value | Rs 32.89 | Book Value |
| Sector | Construction and Materials (Cement) | Sector |
| FV CF/S | Rs 38.67 | Fair Value based on cash flow per share |
| Outstanding Shares | 128,757,240 | Number of Outstanding Shares |
| Current Assets | Rs 2,195.00 | Currency in Millions of Pakistan Rupees |
| Total Liabilities | Rs 4,789.00 | Currency in Millions of Pakistan Rupees |
| NCAV/S | Rs -20.15 | Net Current Asset Value / Share |
| Total Assets | Rs 9,024.00 | Currency in Millions of Pakistan Rupees |
| Quarter | September 2012 | Data Quarter |
| CfO | Rs 473.00 | CASH FROM OPERATIONS (Millions of Rs) |
| CF/S | Rs 3.67 | Cash Flow per Share |
| Symbol | KOHC |
|
| Current Price | Rs 66.79 |
|
| Previous Day Price | Rs 65.75 |
|
| Daily Return | 1.58% |
|
| Price Week Ago | Rs 64.19 |
|
| Weekly Return | 4.05% |
|
| Price Month Ago | Rs 61.52 |
|
| Monthly Return | 8.57% |
|
| Price Quarter Ago | Rs 59.19 |
|
| Quarterly Return | 12.84% |
|
| Price Year Ago | Rs 7.85 |
|
| Yearly Return | 750.83% |
|
KOHC - Kohat Cement Limited - Analysis - 21/12/2012
Upside potential as per this analysis says, its -40% but in reality KOHC has moves straight around 149% since last 7 months.
ReplyDeleteCan you explain value and purpose of these analysis that you are putting up on this site, if these are not reflecting ground realities??
regards,
Sh.
Thanks for your critical comments. Here are some views that I would like to share regarding your observation;
ReplyDelete1- Upside potential is just one parameter in the above analysis. Its based on company financials, that is, how the company should be, ideally valued, if based on the inputs that went into that parameter. If you look in the Yearly Return row, you would see a still higher number to the one presented in upside potential.
2- This is an analysis that was done several months ago, almost 2 quarters ago.
3- These analysis are not predictive in nature. They are not buy and sell technical signals. They show the financial strength or weakness of a company, based on the limited set of data that goes in.
4- The ground realities that you have alluded to are not calculable. No method exists that could tell you the future price of a stock, at any given date in future.
5- Upside potential is an averaged value arrived at by averaging several individual fair values given in the analysis. It is meant to give a summary of what all the other fair values seem to be indicating. If you don't like this metric you can pick any other fair value from the analysis. These fair values are very conservative in nature, they don't take any potential future growth into account (since such projection lies in future and that future has not happened yet and therefore is a mere conjecture).
6- As I said earlier that these analysis do not predict what path the stock price will take, they only say that if stock price were to be based of past financial data and on the limited set of data items that went into the analysis then this could be the best price to pay for a share of the company being analyzed. The actual share price is based not on company financials, but on emotional speculative nature on the traders on a particular day.
Please do keep coming back to this site, with more insights. You are very welcome and if you don't agree to the above (which you certainly would not, then do leave a comment stating why was it so).