Tuesday, November 27, 2012

NCL - Nishat (Chunian) Limited. - Analysis - 27/11/2012

Company NCL Symbol
Company Name Nishat (Chunian) Limited. Company Name
Avg EPS Rs 3.40 Average of past year end EPS's
Avg EPS FV Rs 33.97 Fair Value based on average of past year end EPS's
EPS Rs 7.08 Last four quarters EPS
EPS FV Rs 70.80 Fair Value based on last four quarters EPS
Current Price Rs 33.21 Last closing stock price
Updated November 2012 Data Month/Year
Div Rs 2.00 Total dividend paid during last four quarters
Div FV Rs 20.00 Fair value based on total dividend paid during last four quarters
Avg Div Rs 1.31 Average of yearly dividends paid (including currently paid ones)
Avg Div FV Rs 13.06 Fair value based on Average of yearly dividends paid (including currently paid ones)
Avg Rs 33.47 Fair value (averaged of other fair value)
Upside 0.79% Upside potential (in percentage) based on the above Average.
Div Yield 6.02% Dividend yield
Book Value Rs 43.59 Book Value
Sector Personal Goods (Textile) Sector
FV CF/S Rs 130.28 Fair Value based on cash flow per share
Outstanding Shares 181,986,028 Number of  Outstanding Shares
Current Assets Rs 21,351.00 Currency in Millions of Pakistan Rupees
Total Liabilities Rs 35,433.00 Currency in Millions of Pakistan Rupees
NCAV/S Rs -77.38 Net Current Asset Value / Share
Total Assets Rs 43,365.00 Currency in Millions of Pakistan Rupees
Quarter September 2012 Data Quarter
CfO Rs 2,371.00 CASH FROM OPERATIONS (Millions of Rs)
CF/S Rs 13.03 Cash Flow per Share
Symbol NCL
Current Price Rs 33.21
Previous Day Price Rs 31.63
Daily Return 5.00%
Price Week Ago Rs 29.83
Weekly Return 11.33%
Price Month Ago Rs 26.00
Monthly Return 27.73%
Price Quarter Ago Rs 17.98
Quarterly Return 84.71%
Price Year Ago Rs 16.02
Yearly Return 107.30%

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2 comments:

  1. y nishat chunian going up even pass fair value as u mentioned.

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  2. Fair value and stock price are two independent values. Fair price tells you what the stock price should be, given the current company financials, stock price shows investors enthusiasm about the company stock. I consider a company worth investing in if its stock price is at least 100% (or more) lower than its fair value. That gives me a margin of safety and lowers the risk. But keep in mind that the two may not be co-related, that is, a low fair value is not an absolute guarantee that in future the stock price will rise to either match it or even go above it. On the other hand, if current stock price is higher than the fair value, I, personally, view it as overvalued and refrain from investing in such companies. Considering all that NCL is not on my buy list.

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