Saturday, May 25, 2013

Does something happen each and every year to account for large changes in the value of most companies?


“   A company as large as IBM or General Motors might have divided its ownership stake into something like a billion equal shares. That means
that  if at one  point during the year you can  purchase one share of General  Motors for $30  (and for our example we assume the ownership of
General Motors has been divided into one billion equal pieces, or shares), then the implied price to purchase the entire company (all one billion
shares)  would  be  $30  billion.  However,  if  at  some  point  during  the  same  year,  General  Motors  shares  could  have  been  purchased  for  $60
each, that would indicate that the cost to purchase all of General Motors would be $60 billion.
   So  I ask the question again:  How can this be? Can the value of General Motors, the largest car manufacturer in North America, change that
much within the same year? Can a company that large be worth $30 billion one day and then a few months later be worth $60 billion? Are they
selling  twice  as  many  cars,  making  twice  as  much  money,  or  doing  something  drastically  different  in  their  business  to justify  such  a  large
change  in  value?  Of  course,  it’s  possible.  But what  about  the  big  price  changes  in  IBM, Abercrombie  &  Fitch,  and  General  Electric?  Does
something happen each and every year to account for large changes in the value of most companies?
   Remember, every year the results are the same. For pretty much any company that my students name, the range of high and low prices, over
the course of only one year,  is  huge.  Does this  make sense? Well, to save the class time  (and since  my attention span  is  usually a  matter of
seconds),  I usually blurt out the answer. No!  It makes no sense that the values of most companies swing wildly from high to low, or low to high,
during  the  course  of  each  and  every  year.  On  the  other  hand,  it  seems  pretty  clear  that  the prices  of  the  shares  in  most  companies  swing
around wildly each and every year. All you have to do is look in the newspaper to see that that’s true. “


Share/Bookmark

No comments:

Post a Comment