Sunday, December 2, 2012

KSE Yearly Returns - 02/12/2012

Ticker Prev. price Price % Change
SZTM 5 33.85 577.00%
BILF 1.49 8.8 490.60%
SSML 1.53 8.63 464.05%
SLYT 6.01 26.85 346.76%
KOSM 1.5 6.51 334.00%
ILTM 239.09 951.18 297.83%
YOUW 1.1 4.16 278.18%
ZAHT 4 14.85 271.25%
HMIM 1.1 3.95 259.09%
SGPL 0.93 3.19 243.01%
STML 13.3 45.6 242.86%
FPJM 1.2 4.05 237.50%
KOIL 1.07 3.59 235.51%
SALT 33.5 105.96 216.30%
RAVT 1.19 3.71 211.76%
CWSM 2.74 7.92 189.05%
JKSM 9.25 26 181.08%
SHDT 11 30.67 178.82%
KML 3.35 9.22 175.22%
CML 2.27 6.19 172.69%
KSTM 1.01 2.74 171.29%
ISTM 6.1 16.2 165.57%
PRWM 10.25 26.53 158.83%
CLCPS 0.6 1.52 153.33%
SAIF 9.46 23.51 148.52%
APOT 5.05 12.53 148.12%
SUTM 67.5 163.36 142.01%
LMSM 1.71 4.1 139.77%
KOHTM 5.85 13.9 137.61%
FEM 1.35 3.2 137.04%
DKTM 2 4.74 137.00%
BROT 1.65 3.9 136.36%
MFTM 1.18 2.78 135.59%
KTML 6.69 15.73 135.13%
CJPL 0.9 2.11 134.44%
DSL 2.35 5.5 134.04%
PRET 38.19 89 133.05%
MTIL 1.1 2.5 127.27%
ICCT 1.6 3.63 126.88%
DSIL 1.8 3.85 113.89%
REWM 10.2 21.5 110.78%
SFAT 4.4 9.25 110.23%
CHBL 1.96 4.12 110.20%
MZSM 3.1 6.43 107.42%
NAGC 25.25 52 105.94%
BCML 15.8 32.19 103.73%
ALICO 18.2 36.99 103.24%
ICIBL 0.76 1.53 101.32%
GRAYS 27.35 54.81 100.40%
OLSM 3.05 6.1 100.00%
DFSM 1.69 3.33 97.04%
TSBL 2 3.94 96.82%
UNIC 8.08 15.89 96.66%
MLCF 7.63 14.93 95.67%
SURC 31.5 59.51 88.92%
SMTM 4 7.54 88.50%
JDMT 25 46.9 87.60%
RCML 22.9 42.65 86.24%
AATM 1.89 3.45 82.54%
TRIBL 0.86 1.55 80.23%
DNCC 2.84 5 76.06%
IGIIL 65.9 115.45 75.19%
SPLC 0.9 1.57 74.44%
TRPOL 1.16 2.01 73.28%
ESBL 1.9 3.28 72.63%
BTL 71.35 123 72.39%
GADT 64.65 110.77 71.34%
FASM 47.06 80.5 71.06%
GWLC 6.16 10.51 70.62%
GLPL 59.32 97.75 64.78%
DINT 17.35 28.5 64.27%
NCL 20.01 32.6 62.92%
TATM 20.22 32.93 62.86%
BATA 1058.11 1722 62.74%
PKGS 101.42 164.5 62.20%
SAPL 225.79 366.03 62.11%
BNWM 34.6 55.42 60.17%
IDRT 7.7 12.3 59.74%
PNGRS 2.2 3.5 59.09%
GUSM 3.8 6.01 58.16%
KOHP 1.94 3.04 56.70%
FECTC 23.08 36.04 56.15%
CSM 1.02 1.59 55.88%
HUSS 14.53 22.41 54.21%
AHTM 11.05 17 53.85%
MERIT 18.55 28.4 53.10%
SIBL 2.95 4.5 52.54%
IDYM 400.19 607 51.68%
REST 12.6 18.98 50.63%
SHCI 1.5 2.25 50.00%
TSPL 0.95 1.42 49.47%
BUXL 8.7 13 49.43%
PASM 6.2 9.18 48.06%
TRSM 2.23 3.3 47.98%
CRTM 12.25 17.99 46.86%
QUET 25.2 36.95 46.63%
SARC 2.66 3.9 46.62%
MQTM 13 18.9 45.38%
PASL 2.23 3.23 44.84%
PNSC 17.35 25.12 44.78%
FZCM 90 130.16 44.62%
CENI 10.5 15.08 43.62%
FDIBL 1.4 2 42.86%
CHAS 7.35 10.5 42.84%
PIOC 12.95 18.36 41.78%
GFIL 4.4 6.21 41.14%
ANL 6.09 8.53 40.07%
GAMON 2.54 3.55 39.76%
RICL 7 9.76 39.43%
TSMF 1.3 1.8 38.46%
EMCO 3.2 4.42 38.13%
MWMP 2.85 3.91 37.19%
PKGP 14.37 19.69 37.02%
SEL 16.85 23 36.50%
MSOT 21.37 29 35.70%
DBCI 2.11 2.86 35.55%
STJT 28.6 38.13 33.32%
CEPB 20.12 26.82 33.30%
BERG 15.63 20.81 33.14%
UPFL 3148 4190 33.10%
NATF 224 298 33.04%
BRR 2.59 3.43 32.43%
PICT 155.75 206.04 32.29%
BGL 4.34 5.7 31.34%
ATRL 131.05 170.27 29.93%
CSUML 4.08 5.22 27.94%
MODAM 1.37 1.75 27.74%
SNGP 18.92 24.16 27.70%
HCAR 13.05 16.65 27.59%
ATIL 36.7 46.8 27.52%
SHSML 11.68 14.79 26.63%
KHTC 50 62.96 25.92%
PAKT 55.62 70 25.85%
PAKRI 19.01 23.89 25.67%
PSEL 150.08 187.67 25.05%
ICL 26 32.5 25.00%
AKGL 9.75 12.18 24.92%
CHCC 38.3 47.62 24.33%
MUREB 129.25 160 23.79%
NPL 15.46 18.97 22.70%
ZTL 4 4.9 22.50%
GSPM 5.66 6.91 22.08%
FDMF 5.55 6.76 21.80%
JDWS 105.1 128 21.79%
MOON 6.9 8.4 21.74%
NCPL 16 19.44 21.50%
SHJS 75 90.7 20.93%
PMRS 41.99 50.68 20.70%
EFOODS 72.65 87.6 20.58%
SSIC 6.75 8.1 20.00%
CPL 214.56 257.03 19.79%
FRSM 24 28.75 19.79%
GGL 11.6 13.89 19.74%
ULEVER 8501.5 10159.54 19.50%
BIFO 60 71.55 19.25%
NETSOL 16.08 19.07 18.59%
DCH 2.38 2.82 18.49%
MACFL 20 23.64 18.20%
KCL 5.55 6.55 18.02%
SEPCO 1.28 1.51 17.97%
BYCO 8.77 10.33 17.79%
PMI 1.35 1.59 17.78%
OLPL 12.13 14.27 17.64%
AICL 62.39 73.38 17.61%
JSGCL 31.05 36.51 17.58%
AMTEX 2.48 2.9 16.94%
SHFA 39.14 45.75 16.89%
JSCL 14.75 17.23 16.81%
PKGI 13.98 16.33 16.81%
CSAP 25.84 30 16.10%
SBL 2.34 2.71 15.81%
DCM 2.17 2.51 15.67%
JSBL 5.17 5.97 15.47%
BAPL 8.25 9.52 15.39%
MRNS 44.05 50.78 15.28%
SITC 150.93 173.98 15.27%
ECOP 6.68 7.7 15.27%
PINL 7.58 8.73 15.17%
NESTLE 4050 4655 14.94%
EFUG 76.26 87.29 14.46%
PRL 60.9 69.63 14.33%
DEL 2.19 2.5 14.16%
HINO 70 79.5 13.57%
EFUL 77.5 88 13.55%
JLICL 81.5 92.53 13.53%
HADC 2.03 2.3 13.30%
JGICL 60.99 69 13.13%
DWSM 3.05 3.45 13.11%
SHEL 121.18 136.98 13.04%
FATIMA 23.47 26.51 12.95%
SKFL 8.8 9.93 12.84%
KOHC 56.05 63.04 12.47%
DOL 4.09 4.6 12.47%
DFML 2.43 2.73 12.35%
KESC 6.13 6.88 12.23%
ADAMS 21.75 24.4 12.18%
PAEL 6.82 7.65 12.17%
DCL 4.66 5.2 11.59%
NML 57.46 64.02 11.42%
HIRAT 9.9 11 11.11%
MDTL 4.5 4.99 10.89%
SNBL 7.26 8.05 10.88%
OLTM 7.9 8.75 10.76%
MIRKS 43.9 48.5 10.48%
ARUJ 6.8 7.5 10.29%
NBP 45.41 49.86 9.80%
ASLPS 8.94 9.8 9.62%
DAWH 31.72 34.73 9.49%
BWCL 31.15 34 9.15%
HICL 11.93 13 8.97%
BWHL 30 32.61 8.70%
TRG 4.03 4.36 8.19%
SPL 10.34 11.17 8.03%
FHAM 7.35 7.9 7.48%
FECM 3.68 3.95 7.34%
NONS 24 25.75 7.29%
MEBL 27.99 30.02 7.25%
KASBSL 4.65 4.98 7.10%
SGML 11.3 12.08 6.90%
OGDC 175.83 187.62 6.71%
AMBL 13 13.87 6.69%
LUCK 135.28 143.96 6.42%
PTC 17.04 18.09 6.16%
WTCL 2.79 2.96 6.09%
JSVFL 8.5 9 5.88%
JPGL 1.78 1.88 5.62%
FLYNG 4.17 4.4 5.52%
TICL 43.49 45.85 5.42%
MCB 181.89 191.67 5.38%
FRCL 3.8 4 5.26%
GHNI 9.5 10 5.26%
BIPL 9.34 9.83 5.25%
APL 495.79 520.8 5.04%
FCCL 6.62 6.95 4.98%
TREI 2.55 2.67 4.71%
AKBL 15.88 16.61 4.60%
ATLH 139.45 145.81 4.56%
FABL 10.1 10.55 4.46%
MTL 531.19 554.35 4.36%
ATFF 9 9.39 4.33%
ASL 10.56 11 4.17%
SSGC 20.2 20.99 3.91%
SCM 11.67 12.12 3.86%
ICI 170.22 176.57 3.73%
PIF 6.46 6.7 3.72%
ABOT 216.99 224.68 3.54%
UBL 81.19 83.82 3.24%
BAHL 30.11 31 2.96%
BOP 8.87 9.13 2.93%
DGKC 52.29 53.8 2.89%
PEF 8.75 9 2.86%
KAPCO 46.77 48.01 2.65%
TRIPF 190.21 195 2.52%
BOK 7.31 7.49 2.46%
HWQS 11.15 11.4 2.24%
TELE 2.75 2.81 2.18%
SCLL 5.44 5.55 2.02%
EPCL 9.7 9.89 1.96%
AACIL 6.3 6.4 1.59%
IBLHL 25.6 25.98 1.48%
JSIL 8.76 8.89 1.48%
DSFL 2.23 2.26 1.35%
STPL 8 8.1 1.25%
EXIDE 309.38 313 1.17%
HABSM 26.7 26.95 0.94%
GLAXO 71.04 71.65 0.86%
FCSC 3.63 3.66 0.83%
NIBTFC 100 100.8 0.80%
HMB 18.51 18.61 0.54%
AGTL 216.6 217.72 0.52%
KASBB 2.49 2.5 0.40%
PMTFC6 98.66 98.87 0.21%
LOTPTA 7.11 7.1 -0.14%
TPL 8.52 8.5 -0.23%
NICL 3.81 3.79 -0.52%
TGL 17.88 17.78 -0.56%
JSGF 8.6 8.55 -0.58%
GASF 6.13 6.09 -0.65%
NIB 2.4 2.38 -0.83%
ABL 72.37 71.65 -0.99%
KOHE 23.25 23 -1.08%
POL 430.68 425.85 -1.12%
SCBPL 12.55 12.4 -1.20%
IGIBL 2.25 2.22 -1.33%
KSBP 68 67.05 -1.40%
FFC 113.76 112.06 -1.49%
PIAA 2.68 2.64 -1.49%
PACE 3.06 3.01 -1.63%
SILK 2.33 2.29 -1.72%
WYETH 960 934.5 -2.66%
HBL 114.93 111.8 -2.72%
LPCL 5.44 5.28 -2.94%
MARI 102.06 98.71 -3.28%
BAFL 17.34 16.74 -3.46%
KOHS 6.22 6 -3.54%
ACPL 104.54 100.78 -3.60%
POAF 8.5 8.18 -3.76%
AGL 13 12.5 -3.85%
PGF 14.39 13.83 -3.89%
WTL 2.89 2.77 -4.15%
SRVI 176 168 -4.55%
ENGRO 101.12 96.11 -4.95%
OTSU 41 38.82 -5.32%
AHI 16.49 15.55 -5.70%
INDU 281.6 264 -6.25%
AASM 21.33 19.95 -6.47%
FHBM 9.75 9.1 -6.67%
LINDE 164.36 153.32 -6.72%
DLL 52.88 49.3 -6.77%
CPPL 40.61 37.61 -7.39%
SMBL 3.37 3.12 -7.42%
FFBL 38.98 36.05 -7.52%
DADX 43.84 40.49 -7.65%
MBF 11.58 10.65 -8.03%
AKZO 88.47 81.17 -8.25%
SEPL 55.13 50.5 -8.40%
GATM 25.66 23.5 -8.42%
HSPI 22 20.06 -8.82%
EWLA 5.5 5 -9.09%
STCL 9.86 8.93 -9.43%
JOPP 9.4 8.5 -9.57%
THALL 121.82 110.11 -9.61%
HUBC 48.69 43.93 -9.78%
PSMC 96.11 86.26 -10.25%
AGIL 97.02 86 -11.36%
ALTN 10.2 9 -11.76%
PSO 256.91 225.77 -12.12%
PGCL 186.21 163.5 -12.20%
GHGL 59.69 52.08 -12.75%
IFSL 13.8 12 -13.04%
INIL 38.61 33.5 -13.23%
TDIL 10.2 8.85 -13.24%
FEROZ 92.83 80.5 -13.28%
FNBM 6 5.2 -13.33%
NEXT 6.5 5.61 -13.69%
ISL 13.79 11.9 -13.71%
GHNL 5.11 4.4 -13.89%
NRL 248.4 210.01 -15.45%
DWAE 3.82 3.2 -16.23%
SHNI 12 9.99 -16.75%
QUICE 13.91 11.5 -17.33%
SIEM 909.99 747.5 -17.86%
SEARL 54 43.44 -19.56%
PMPK 149.3 119.25 -20.13%
HAL 28.36 22.5 -20.66%
SING 21.5 17 -20.93%
PPL 223.15 174.84 -21.65%
AHCL 32.92 25.62 -22.17%
ARM 43.9 34.01 -22.53%
UBDL 31.8 24.24 -23.77%
ATBA 297.24 225.2 -24.24%
AHL 38.63 29.22 -24.36%
PPP 56 41 -26.79%
ADOS 13.99 10.17 -27.31%
DYNO 25.02 17.58 -29.74%
CYAN 75.46 53 -29.76%
CSIL 4 2.8 -30.00%
SAZEW 32.8 22.41 -31.68%
BPL 56.66 37.7 -33.46%
RUBY 5 3.3 -34.00%
IDEN 9.65 4.88 -49.43%

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13 comments:

  1. dear brother, if you are following ptcl, what is your assessment of ICH as court has to decide it.

    ReplyDelete
  2. Yes I am following PTCL, along-with each and every KSE listed company. I have no idea as what impact, above scenario, would have on PTC stock price. I had posted my analysis earlier. Here is the link;
    http://pakistan-stocks.blogspot.com/2012/10/ptc-pakistan-telecommunication-analysis.html
    and according to that PTC is no good for value investors. I would put its fair value at Rs 12.17. So a no, no from me, for me!

    ReplyDelete
  3. Don't you have a gmail/yahoo/skype where I could talk to you online sometimes?

    ReplyDelete
  4. Yes sure! My gmail email address is rashid19672006+pakistanstocks@gmail.com! Lets use this and setup a meeting later.

    ReplyDelete
  5. Presumably you are an analyst by profession, aren't you?

    ReplyDelete
  6. An no, I am not (that is, no I am not a professional analyst)! By profession I am a software developer, and this helps be in writing software for myself, that helps in doing fundamental analysis on companies data. By the way did that put you off, that is, my not working as a analyst for a brokerage?
    Anyway, this site is for sharing my work with the visitors of this site, good friends like you yourself. I don't recommend any stocks for buying or selling (not anymore, that is). I leave that judgement to the readers. My aim is to value the price that a particular company share should be trading at, at a particular moment in time. If the value price is lower than the current price then I guess its good for investment. Whether the price will go up (or down) that I have no idea of. My strategy is to buy cheap stocks, that others are valuing at lower price than their true worth, and hold them for at least a year or longer.
    How do you choose stocks for your investment?

    ReplyDelete
  7. Oh and by the way! Here is what BMA has to say about something you were interested in;

    ICH in the bin – What now?



    * PTA, in a notification issued yesterday has dissolved ICH, established on the directives of MoIT. The notification will be submitted before the Lahore High Court today in this regard



    * Recall, this arrangement was to lead all the international calls to converge at a single technical exchange/gateway, as against being handled by 14 different licensees and that too at USc 8.8/min



    * According to sources, LDI operators all over the country may form a price consensus strategy fixing the rates on international calls close to ICH levels



    * If this happens, it will bode well for the companies as they will keep on earning higher revenues



    * Having said, application of the strategy would require a strong consensus amongst local LDI operators regarding the fixation of market shares and international call rates without any authority supervising them



    * We revise our TP downwards by 28% to PKR21/sh bringing down our valuations to pre-ICH levels. Still, the scrip offers an upside of 17% from current trading levels advocating a BUY

    ReplyDelete
  8. I stumbled upon your blog by chance and I found it really very helpful, likewise, I started reading it on daily basis and though I don't really understand the technicalities yet, as I am just a student who invested in KSE a few months ago on a teacher's recommendation, got quite a bit of profit which helped me insist my father to invest as well.

    How do I invest? Well, I usually look for the companies having good fundamentals for long term investment and for short term investment/trading I follow the trend. For instance Cement and Textile sector provided a lot of gain lately. Having said this, I still feel the need to seek an expert advice but an expert advice is hard to come by, usually people talks about hearsay and that's all.

    You are doing a great job by putting up all this data here, people like me really appreciate your efforts for it helps taking a good investment decision.

    ReplyDelete
  9. Just one bit of advice, a cautious one! I don't know how long you have been investing in stocks, if you have been into stocks since pre-CGT era, then you would know that stocks prices tumble too, and when they do that, you total investment value goes down dramatically. So keep the seat belt on, you never know what is to follow next.

    I do not take analysis into account while investing, therefore, no trading for me, only investment, long term. I am a contrarian investor. I'll be happy to provide you with any advice I am capable of providing, but you'll find it a bit hard to accept. Stay with me long enough and the trust will build. That's all I can say.

    By expert advice, I presume, someone working as an analyst with a brokerage house, with a degree in accounting or maybe MBA? Well your brokerage house provides (at least should) provide you with their analysis reports and you can call in for their recommendations. But do you think people really trust them (their advice)?

    Oh and lots of thanks for your kind words of encouragement. Those meant a lot to me. Keep visiting, you are more than welcome!

    ReplyDelete
  10. Thanks for the advice, duly noted the point.

    Brokerage houses does recommend different scrips but what I have noticed is, people tend to buy on those calls and mostly book losses and then curse their brokers.

    By the way have you done any analysis on Fectc and Cyan? If yes, then what's your say on both these scrips as both these scrips looks really attractive to me at current prices.

    ReplyDelete
  11. Brokerage houses are bound to find company stocks that might make quick profits for their customers. They want to please their customers, reports readers, "now" and that is where the risk lies. In short time durations, markets are highly volatile, they can easily tip in either direction. But, in long term, things look good. But for that patience is a requirement, which many traders don't want to reap. So the problem.

    Yes I had looked at Fecto Cement's fundamental data and had posted my analysis here;
    http://pakistan-stocks.blogspot.com/2012/11/fectc-fecto-cement-limited-analysis.html
    I had concluded that FECTC's fair value price should be Rs 27.98, while its currently trading at -15.29% to that, that is, at Rs 33.03. So I am not very optimistic about the company myself. It may go up, its upto how the FECTC investors see the company. But I am not going to put my money in the stock.

    Regarding CYAN, I just did my analysis, and posted it here;
    http://pakistan-stocks.blogspot.com/2012/12/cyan-cyan-limited-analysis-10122012.html
    And the conclusion is.........Yes, by all means, yes, I would like to have some CYAN in my portfolio. Current price is Rs 52.67. I would say it is good till Rs 143.70, which gives an upside potential of 172.83%. Its undervalued, at the moment. Would it be a gold mine? That, I don't know, because it is nearly impossible to predict future. What I know for sure is, which those fundamentals, and at that price, its cheap to buy. So good luck, to both of us. So are you already into CYAN or planning a fresh entry?

    ReplyDelete
  12. Patience, so right, one just cannot succeed in stock market if he's not patient enough. Reminds me of PPL which is really testing my nerves.

    I think you are right about Fectc, it's one of the weaker manufacturers of cement in Pakistan, yet, after reading different analysis and articles I am very hopeful that it go up to 45rs/sh and for a short term investment it wouldn't be a bad outcome. By short term I mean 2 to 4 months period.

    I have taken a position in Cyan even though my broker wasn't really letting me do so, according to him I should avoid any fresh buying due to the political uncertainties in the country, plus he feels that technical correction is on the charts now but I have bought it anyways! It could be a goldmine as per said by you, j/k.

    Have you invested in Stock Market yourself? How do you manage a blog of such MAGNITUDE, must be hard?

    ReplyDelete
  13. I am not too enthusiastic about PPL myself, well that's what data tells me. But as I said earlier, stocks prediction is not my game. I have sold my holding of PPL, only a few are left, which I will shortly.

    To me, FECTC seems fair at Rs 27.98, currently it is trading at Rs 32.40, so I don't see any justification in investing in it, that is for myself. It maybe the case that investor enthusiasm might take it higher still, you never know. But its not a company Benjamin Graham would recommend, I am sure.

    I don't trust charts and technical analysis. But have bad reputation with people of repute, people who know what stock investment is, academics, researchers. Read the book "A Random Walk Down the Wall Street" and you will know why my trust on technical analysis is so weak. Just to be on the safe side, I am not recommending CYAN to anyone but me. It seems healthy financially, undervalued at current price, so I will try to buy it for myself. That is all I can say with safety. I may go down, you never know. But if you are sure that you bought a company cheap, there are no regrets till it sinks way far below its fair value.

    Yes all the research I post here, I do for myself. Since the work has already been done so I share with with readers of this site, they may find it useful. And yes its quiet a lot of work. Sometimes even I question myself, the worth of all this trouble, why do it, but so far I am going along with it.

    Thanks a lot for your kind comments and interest in the site. This site and site owner are indebted to friends like you. Please remain interested. Your patronage is highly valued.

    ReplyDelete